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Monday 3 Jul 06

Urban Legend (WaPo): Cory Booker is the new mayor of Newark. He lives in a housing project and has been without hot water since last November.

Confirmation bias in politics:
In science we have built-in self-correcting machinery. Strict double-blind controls are required in experiments, in which neither the subjects nor the experimenters know the experimental conditions during the data-collection phase. Results are vetted at professional conferences and in peer-reviewed journals. Research must be replicated in other laboratories unaffiliated with the original researcher. Disconfirmatory evidence, as well as contradictory interpretations of the data, must be included in the paper. Colleagues are rewarded for being skeptical. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. We need similar controls for the confirmation bias in the arenas of law, business and politics. Judges and lawyers should call one another on the practice of mining data selectively to bolster an argument and warn juries about the confirmation bias. CEOs should assess critically the enthusiastic recommendations of their VPs and demand to see contradictory evidence and alternative evaluations of the same plan. Politicians need a stronger peer-review system that goes beyond the churlish opprobrium of the campaign trail, and I would love to see a political debate in which the candidates were required to make the opposite case.

Opera makes a profit on free software. As usual, I only sort of get how this works. According to the article, search bar integration seems to be part of it, just like with Firefox and Flock.

And on that note: Mr. Firefox looks towards the future:
People ask me, “Well, gee, if IE7 is starting to catch up to Firefox, and if they’ve got their hand back in development right now, and eventually they might actually catch up to Firefox in terms of features, what’s the benefit of using Firefox? Why are you guys still around if you say that your only goal is just to make the Web a better place?” My answer to that is, how much can you really trust a company that five years ago completely left you abandoned? If they do, in fact, succeed in taking back some of the market share that Firefox has gotten back from them, who’s to say that they’re not going to disappear again? My issue is not so much at a product level; it’s at a company level. How do you trust a company that left everyone out in the cold for five years?
This is true for Windows users, of course. From my point of view as a Linux user, Firefox’s main competition is Opera. I’ve tried out Opera a view times in the past and it never stuck. I am so reliant on my favorite Firefox extensions now that I am reluctant to give it another fair shot.